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Analysis of the match between Atlético Madrid and Barcelona
Looking at the head-to-head record, Barcelona clearly hold the upper hand over Atletico Madrid. In the last 10 meetings, the Catalan side have claimed 8 victories, with one draw and just a single win for Atletico. At home, Diego Simeone’s men have won 2 and lost 4 of their last 6 matches hosting Barca.
In terms of overall form, Los Rojiblancos have lacked consistency, recording 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in their last 10 matches across all competitions. However, their home ground remains a crucial stronghold. At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atletico have won 16, drawn 1 and lost only 2 of their last 19 official matches — a record that provides significant confidence ahead of this important clash.
Moreover, Atletico have fewer injury concerns compared to their opponents, giving them an added boost in confidence for this encounter. If Simeone’s side fail to capitalize on their home advantage in the first leg, their hopes of reaching the Copa del Rey final this season could become very slim.
On the other hand, Barcelona are enjoying outstanding form. Under Hansi Flick, they have lost just once in their last 18 matches in all competitions, winning the other 17. However, it is worth noting that all four of their recent defeats have come away from home, most recently a 1-2 loss to Real Sociedad on January 19, 2026.
That detail offers Atletico a glimmer of hope. If they make the most of their home advantage, the Madrid side could secure a favorable result and force Barcelona to wait until the return leg at Camp Nou to attempt a comeback.
